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March Madness: Stock Up, Stock Down

The WNBA Draft Stock Report: Risers and Fallers

WNBA Draft Stock March Madness

On college basketball’s biggest stage, March is where prospects separate themselves. One signature performance can redefine a career—much like Sarah Ashlee Barker, whose 45-point outburst in a double-overtime tournament loss displayed the toughness and clutch play that propelled her into a first round selection for the Los Angeles Sparks.

As the 2026 tournament begins, we’re looking at who is rising to the moment. For seniors, these games are a final chance to help their draft stock. For underclassmen, it’s about proving they are next in line.

📈 Tournament Risers

Britt Prince | G | Nebraska

Nebraska’s tournament stay was short, but Britt Prince used the national stage to confirm her 50/40/90 regular-season slash line was no fluke. Over two games, she averaged 24.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 3.5 assists while shooting 54.5/50/100. More than just a shooter, she hunted her own looks off the bounce and created for teammates with poise. Just a sophomore, Prince is a name to watch.

Ava Heiden | C | Iowa

Iowa’s season ended in a double overtime thriller, but Heiden was a force in the paint. She put up 29 and 26 points in her two tournament appearances, providing steady, efficient scoring that kept the Hawkeyes in it until the final buzzer. Her footwork and touch are reminiscent of fellow Iowa product Monika Czinano, but she operates with a quicker burst to her spots. Even in the loss, Heiden proved she is the next great efficient post for the Hawkeyes.

Joyce Edwards & Ta’Niya Latson | South Carolina

Joyce Edwards has been the engine for South Carolina, averaging 25 points and 9 rebounds through two rounds while shooting 62% from the floor. Meanwhile, as we noted in our Flau’jae vs. Ta’Niya breakdown, the big question for Latson this March was whether she could impact winning beyond scoring. She’s answered by recording 6 and 5 assists while also averaging 4 steals in the two games. Latson is proving she is more than just a bucket-getter.

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📉 Tournament Fallers

Tennessee Women’s Basketball Program

Listing an entire program as a “Faller” is a strong statement, but the current state of Tennessee is impossible to ignore. The team closed the year on a dismal eight-game losing streak, a first in the program’s NCAA era. Compounding the situation is senior Janiah Barker, whose absence in the first-round loss—officially ruled as an illness—leaves a cloud over her draft potential. Missing the biggest game of the year makes a slide in the draft a real possibility. The fallout has continued into the off-season; three days after their first-round loss, Deniya Prawl and Alyssa Latham have both announced their intentions to enter the transfer portal.

Saylor Poffenbarger & Yarden Garzon | G | Maryland

For two seniors with WNBA aspirations, the first-weekend exit was a missed opportunity. Neither Poffenbarger nor Garzon did enough to seize control in their Round of 32 loss to North Carolina, combining to go 0-for-16 from deep. For Poffenbarger, the game reinforced questions about her shooting inconsistencies, while Garzon continued to struggle to find rhythm as a playmaker.

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WNBA Draft Battleground: Flau'jae Johnson vs. Ta'Niya Latson

The Series: WNBA Draft Battleground

Flau'jae Johnson vs. Ta'Niya Latson

In this series, we go toe-to-toe with the toughest evaluations in the 2026 class. In this installment, we’re evaluating two explosive, undersized scoring guards who have had to transition from being the primary engine to playing a reduced role this season.

Round 6: Flau’jae Johnson vs Ta’Niya Latson

Box scores don’t tell the full story when a player goes from being “the system” to playing within one. For Flau’jae Johnson and Ta’Niya Latson, the challenge is proving their skill sets can translate into winning roles on stacked rosters. We pit them against each other to answer: Which player projects as the better pro?

We break down the matchup ⬇️

Prospect Profile: Flau’jae Johnson

The Case For

Athleticism: Johnson’s explosive physical tools and transition scoring are tailor-made for the WNBA. Her open-floor speed and downhill finishing are highly translatable, suggesting she might actually be a better pro than college player.

The Case Against

Size: At 5-foot-10, she is undersized for a WNBA wing. She will have to rely heavily on her athleticism and motor to avoid being a mismatch against bigger and stronger pro wings.

Engagement Concerns: She has remained efficient on lower usage this season, but there are noticeable stretches where she looks unengaged and out of sync. This raises questions about her ability to stay impactful when operating strictly as a role player at the next level.

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Prospect Profile: Ta’Niya Latson

The Case For

Elite Creation: Latson possesses an elite first step and the ability to break down defenses and finish in traffic. She maintains an undeniable alpha scoring mentality, constantly putting pressure on defenses.

Drawing Fouls: She is a master at drawing contact. Her aggressive, downhill style forces defenders into mistakes, allowing her to generate easy points at the free-throw line.

The Case Against

Size and Defense: At 5-foot-8, she will likely be targeted by bigger, more physical WNBA guards, making it difficult to find clean defensive matchups for her on a nightly basis.

Off-Ball Impact: While she has posted better efficiency numbers on lower usage this season, her value remains tied to her scoring. This raises questions about her ability to impact the game when the ball isn’t in her hands.

Flau'jae Johnson Ta'Niya Latson Advantage
Height 5'10" 5'8" Johnson
Draft Age 22 22 Tie
Athleticism Explosive; transition-built Elite burst Tie
Shooting Reliable mid-range & 3pt shot 3-Level creator Latson
Defense Versatile; high motor Inconsistent Johnson
Decision Making High-efficiency; low turnover Evolving facilitator; reduced TOs Tie
WNBA Readiness Two-way wing Explosive scoring spark Johnson

The Verdict: Who Projects as the Better Pro?

Flau’jae Johnson is the more versatile bet for the modern WNBA. While neither guard has prototypical wing size, Johnson’s taller frame, elite transition athleticism, and two-way game ultimately give her the edge over Latson. While Latson is the more natural scorer, Johnson’s defensive motor and ability to impact games without high usage make her the more translatable prospect.

The Edge: Flau’jae Johnson

🏀 Tournament Watch

  • Flau’jae Johnson (#2 LSU vs. #15 Jacksonville): Today at 6:00 PM ET (ESPN). After scoring in single digits in two of her last three games, the focus is on whether Johnson can re-establish her aggressive scoring mentality.

  • Ta’Niya Latson (#1 South Carolina vs. #16 Southern): Tomorrow, 1:00 PM ET (ABC). For Latson, the narrative is about total game impact. Moving away from just “point hunting,” she’ll be judged on her ability to influence winning through playmaking and defensive engagement while operating within a deep rotation.

The Bottom Line: A deep run fueled by aggressive, multi-dimensional play could secure a top lottery spot.

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Women's March Madness: 3 Opening-Round Upsets to Watch

The women’s tournament typically sees less chaos than the men’s,
but these three matchups look ripe for an upset.

Women's March Madness upsets

March Madness is defined by upsets, but historically, the women’s tournament plays out a bit differently than the men’s. While the men’s side is synonymous with chaos and double-digit Cinderella runs, the women’s bracket tends to be much chalkier. The top powerhouses usually take care of business early, but this season, a handful of teams look vulnerable in the first round.

Here are three matchups where a lower seed might send the favorite packing.

1. (10) Tennessee over (7) NC State

This game is easily the most intriguing of the first round, featuring two programs that have largely underperformed their Top 15 preseason expectations. Tennessee has spent the last month in a tailspin—dropping seven straight and looking out of sync—while NC State remains in a state of flux after a string of February stumbles and a lopsided exit from the ACC Tournament.

Despite the Lady Vols’ late-season slide, this matchup favors them. If Janiah Barker, Zee Spearman, and Talaysia Cooper can lock in, Tennessee’s length and athleticism will overwhelm a smaller NC State rotation. While Zoe Brooks and Zam Jones are elite shot-makers, both stand under 6 feet. If Brooks goes off, the Wolfpack have a path to win, but doing so against Tennessee’s verticality remains a massive challenge. When engaged, this Tennessee roster has the personnel to hang with anyone; this is the game where they put it all together.

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2. (9) Princeton over (8) Oklahoma State

Princeton enters the tournament as one of the hottest teams in the country, riding a dominant win streak that secured both the Ivy League regular season and tournament titles. Conversely, Oklahoma State has been on a bit of a roller coaster; while the Cowgirls have high-scoring potential, their rhythm has been interrupted by inconsistent play throughout Big 12 action.

The edge in this “mini upset” goes to the Tigers because of their veteran composure. Princeton is a battle-tested group making their fifth straight trip to the Big Dance, led by senior Madison St. Rose. In a game that will likely be decided by execution in the final minutes, the more steady and experienced Tigers should prevail.

3. (9) USC over (8) Clemson

Despite being the lower seed and traveling across the country for a pseudo-road game in South Carolina, USC enters this matchup as the betting favorite and we agree. While Clemson has had a historic season—securing 21 wins for the first time in 25 years—they often struggle against the type of elite, versatile length the Trojans bring to the floor.

USC’s path to this mini-upset lies in their disruptive defense. If Kennedy Smith, Kara Dunn, and Jazzy Davidson can use their length to shrink the floor and disrupt Clemson’s rhythm, the Tigers will find it difficult to execute their balanced attack. Expect this to be a grind, but much like the Tennessee matchup, USC’s superior athleticism and defensive activity should eventually prevail.

How many of these three lower seeds actually advance?
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WNBA Draft Battleground: Olivia Miles vs. Kiki Rice

The Series: WNBA Draft Battleground

Olivia Miles vs. Kiki Rice

In this series, we go toe-to-toe with the toughest evaluations in the 2026 class. In each installment, we take two prospects with similar profiles, pit them against each other, and answer the ultimate question: Who projects as the better pro?

Round 5: Olivia Miles vs. Kiki Rice

This matchup features arguably the top two point guards in the 2026 WNBA Draft class.

They share the same elite physical profile: big guards and unselfish playmakers who do a little bit of everything to impact winning.

But their approaches couldn’t be more different. One dominates with flash and open-court creativity; the other excels with reads and precision.

We break down the matchup ⬇️

Prospect Profile: Olivia Miles

The Case For

The “It” Factor: Olivia Miles possesses a level of passing creativity that cannot be taught. She doesn’t just find open teammates; she creates them with stellar court vision and manipulation. Currently averaging 20.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 6.6 assists, she orchestrates the TCU offense with a flair that makes her dangerous in the open court.

Offensive Engine: Her ability to decelerate, change pace, and whip passes all over the court allows her to dismantle defenses. After missing the 2023-24 season, she has returned not just healthy, but with a refined jumper. While her 3-point efficiency has dipped slightly (36.3%, down from 40.6%), it remains a significant improvement over her pre-injury numbers (22.8%).

The Case Against

Turnover Prone: Miles plays a high-risk game, often attempting home-run passes when a single was available. In the WNBA, those live-ball turnovers will be punished.

Defense: While she has quick hands and gets steals at a high rate (1.9 spg), she can be too upright in her stance and often gets caught ball-watching rather than staying attached to her matchup. At both Notre Dame and now TCU, Miles has been benched in critical late-game defensive possessions—a concerning trend for a team’s best player.

Fan Hub

This post may contain affiliate links. Please read the disclosure policy.

As one of the top names to watch for in the 2026 WNBA Draft, her journey is happening right now. Track the next generation of talent and see a future pro in the making.

Rep Her College Colors: Before she gets to the WNBA, she’s a star for her university. This is the best place to find all the officially licensed gear for her team.

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Prospect Profile: Kiki Rice

The Case For

Floor General: Kiki Rice operates with the poise of a veteran. Her game is methodical and calculated. While her raw assist numbers are slightly down, the context is crucial: she shares the backcourt with Charlisse Leger-Walker, a four-year star and All-Pac-12 performer. Leger-Walker leads the Bruins with 5.5 assists per game, effectively shifting Rice into a secondary playmaking role. This proves Rice can thrive without being ball-dominant—a massive plus for WNBA teams with established stars.

Physical Profile: At 5’11”, Rice is built for WNBA physicality. She is an excellent rebounder who’s not afraid to mix it up in the paint. Defensively, she is a scrappy, solid defender who stays in front of her woman.

The Case Against

Lack of “Takeover” Mode: Rice is so unselfish that she can sometimes defer to a fault, content to blend into the flow of the offense. For someone of Rice’s pedigree, she is a bit of an enigma. She has the tools and the hype, but that lack of an alpha mentality makes you wonder: For someone expected to be a lottery pick in the 2026 WNBA Draft, does she have the takeover DNA required to be a franchise cornerstone?

Olivia Miles (TCU) Kiki Rice (UCLA) Advantage
Height 5'10" 5'11" Tie
Draft Age 23 22 Tie
Athleticism Shifty; elite deceleration Strong; downhill force Rice
Shooting 3-Level Scorer (improved 3PT) Mid-range & Rim specialist Miles
Defense High steals; Gambles/Upright Scrappy defender Rice
Decision Making Visionary: Flashy (High Risk/Reward) Cerebral: Methodical (Low TOs) Miles
Upside Franchise Cornerstone Championship Piece Miles
WNBA Readiness Immediate Developmental Miles

The Verdict: Who Projects as the Better Pro?

If you draft Kiki Rice, you are getting a player who projects as a solid pro. She will defend, she will rebound, and she will never lose you a game with a bad decision. She is the safe, smart, winning pick.

If you draft Olivia Miles, you are swinging for a Superstar.

The WNBA is a league of stars. You can find steady point guard play in free agency; you cannot find Olivia Miles’ vision on the open market. Her ability to see plays before they happen gives her a gravitational pull that changes how defenses guard your entire team.

Rice fits any roster. Miles will define the roster.

At the top of the draft where you need to find a franchise-changer, you take the player with the magic.

Winner: Olivia Miles

Final Call: Miles wins the matchup.

Do you draft for magic or for safety? Who is the better long-term pick?
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